TREND makes the ATS-ZB32 almost Perfect |
The function TREND was designed to monitor the system while it is trading. If a trade startes to lose money, TREND checks the direction of the market. If the market is not moving in the direction of the trade, TREND takes the system out of the market with a small loss, preventing the system from getting in a deep loss, and thus reducing the drawdown. The ATS-ZB32 takes its signal to go SHORT or LONG from the stochastic. If the stochastice goes above 80% the system goes Short. If the stochastic goes below 20% it goes LONG. However the stochastic can go above 80% and the market can still keep going up. Similarly the stochastic can go below 20% and the market can stll keep going down. In each of these cases, the system will keep going SHORT or LONG, because the stochastic is over bought or over sold, and the trade will start to lose money, sometimes a lot of money. This is where TREND kicks in. If a trade starts to lose money, TREND checks the direction of the market. If the system is LONG, but the direction of the market is going lower and lower, and the trade is losing money, TREND gets the system out of the market, before the trade becomes a big loser. The same applies if the system is SHORT, but the direction of the market is going higher and higher. These are the results from the TREND function since 1983.
TREND TRADES | TREND TRADES TOTALS # WEEK-OF SYSTEM EXIT REVERSE TOTAL | SYSTEM EXIT REVERSE --------------------------------------------+----------------------------- 1 23NOV84 7343 4031 3312- 718 | 7343 4031 3312- 2 20DEC85 17562 17843 281 18125 | 24905 21874 3030- 3 29JAN88 14750 10218 4531- 5687 | 39655 32092 7561- 4 07JUL89 12343 9593 2750- 6843 | 51998 41685 10311- 5 16JUL93 22343 21156 1187- 19968 | 74341 62841 11498- 6 01APR94 7812 8812 1000 9812 | 82153 71653 10498- 7 08JUL94 3125- 31 3156 3187 | 79028 71684 7341- 8 09AUG96 3218 1312 1906- 593- | 82246 72996 9247- 9 12JUN98 3218- 4562- 1343- 5906- | 79027 68433 10590- 10 19APR02 2531 2687 156 2843 | 81558 71120 10433- 11 13JUN03 17843 15812 2031- 13781 | 99401 86932 12464- 12 04FEB05 11906 11281 625- 10656 | 111307 98213 13089- 13 05MAY06 11906 11687 218- 11468 | 123213 109900 13307- 14 24NOV06 2968- 3156- 187- 3343- | 120244 106743 13494- 15 05JUN09 25312 25718 406 26124 | 145556 132461 13087- 16 06AUG10 20203 18484 1718- 16765 | 165759 150945 14805- 17 08OCT10 6156- 4468- 1687 2781- | 159602 146476 13117- 18 16MAR12 937 2875 1937 4812 | 160539 149351 11179- 19 06SEP13 18750 14250 4500- 9750 | 179289 163601 15679- 20 30JAN15 28875 28125 750- 27375 | 208164 191726 16429- 21 08JUL16 35281 35531 250 35781 | 243445 227257 16179- 22 05OCT18 4906- 1375- 3531 2156 | 238538 225882 12647- 23 20MAR20 13125 21312 1250 22562 | 251663 247194 11397- 24 05JUN20 937- 3250 5093 8343 | 250725 250444 6303- 25 08OCT21 4281- 656 4937 5593 | 246443 251100 1365- 26 17JUN22 14468- 3906- 7500 3593 | 231974 247193 6135 27 28OCT22 12875- 6562 19437 26000 | 219099 253755 25572 Some results are hypothetical.
To be a Successful Trader, you have to be able to Trade without |